Brian Poindexter · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Poindexter is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Poindexter at 81¢ against Miller's 19¢, up 15¢ since August 3. The polling average has Poindexter ahead by 10 points, and Miller leads 3.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Poindexter · Democratic contract

81.0¢

▲ 15.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Brian Poindexter by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 84¢ · low 66¢Oct 12

Brian PoindexterDemocratic

81.0¢

Max L. MillerRepublican · incumbent

19.0¢

200,106 traded · 94,650 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Poindexter v Miller

Metric by metric

Poindexter

Miller

81.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

19.0¢

$603.2K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.14M

$312.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.38M

43%

Latest pollBedrock Polling, D sponsor · Aug 10

35%

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Ohio 7th District

Polling average

D+10

Average of 3 pollsters, August 6 to August 10.

Prior result

R+15.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Max L. Miller.

Fundraising

3.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.