Elections Intelligence

Massachusetts 7th District

DEFENDED SEATPRIMARY 09-01
SAFE D
THE NOVEMBER FIELD · NEXT NOMINATING EVENT 09-01
Democratic — SETTLED
Ayanna Pressley Democratic · Nominee
View the primary field · 3 candidates
Ayanna Pressley Democratic KLKelechi Linardon other APAyanna Pressley other
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 97-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 99.9¢ today.

Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Prior result · Safe DD+97.1 in 2024. Market · Safe DD 99.9¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 99.9¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+97.1

Ayanna Pressley (D)

97.1 — 0 · 2024 general election

def. Other candidates (other). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
Ayanna Pressley$1.13M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 09-01General Nov 3, 2026 D settled · other no primary