Elections Intelligence

Senate 2026

FTP Race Signal:Safe DLikely DLean DToss-upLean RLikely RSafe RUnresolvedNot on the ballotSelected
The races to watch All 35 Senate races →
AK Alaska U.S. Senate — Sullivan defends
Top-four field settled · 4 advancers on the November ballot
TOSS-UP KALSHI · D 64¢ · R 38¢ · Aug 27 FTP Race Signal: pure Toss-up Race →
IA Iowa U.S. Senate — open seat
Turek (D) v Hinson (R)
TOSS-UP KALSHI · R 59¢ · D 42¢ · Aug 27 FTP Race Signal: pure Toss-up Race →
MI Michigan U.S. Senate — open seat
El-Sayed (D) v Rogers (R)
TOSS-UP KALSHI · D 63¢ · R 39¢ · Aug 27 FTP Race Signal: pure Toss-up Race →
OH Ohio U.S. Senate (Special) — Husted defends
Brown (D) v Husted (R)
TOSS-UP KALSHI · D 56¢ · R 45¢ · Aug 27 FTP Race Signal: pure Toss-up Race →
TX Texas U.S. Senate — open seat
Talarico (D) v Paxton (R)
TOSS-UP KALSHI · R 51¢ · D 50¢ · Aug 27 Talarico out-raises Paxton 7-to-1 Race →
AR Arkansas U.S. Senate — Cotton defends
Shoffner (D) v Cotton (R)
LEAN R KALSHI · R 93.4¢ · D 8.1¢ · Aug 27 Signals split across reads Race →
ID Idaho U.S. Senate — Risch defends
R settled · D settled · I settled · L settled
LEAN R KALSHI · R 96.3¢ · ACHILLES 6¢ · D 1.5¢ · Aug 27 Risch out-raises Achilles 5-to-1 · a named independent prices in the market Race →
KS Kansas U.S. Senate — Marshall defends
Hamilton (D) v Marshall (R)
LEAN R KALSHI · R 83¢ · D 20¢ · Aug 27 FTP Race Signal Lean R Race →
LA Louisiana U.S. Senate — open seat
Davis (D) v Letlow (R)
LEAN R KALSHI · R 94.5¢ · D 8.1¢ · Aug 27 Letlow out-raises Davis 3-to-1 Race →
SC South Carolina U.S. Senate — Graham defends
Andrews (D) v Graham (R)
LEAN R KALSHI · R 88¢ · D 13¢ · Aug 27 Signals split across reads Race →
ME Maine U.S. Senate — Collins defends
Jackson (D) v Collins (R)
LEAN D · FLIP KALSHI · D 68¢ · R 34¢ · Aug 27 FTP Race Signal Lean D Race →
NH New Hampshire U.S. Senate — open seat
D unresolved · R unresolved · I settled
LEAN D KALSHI · D 85¢ · R 17¢ · Aug 27 Signals split across reads · Pappas out-raises Brown 7-to-1 Race →