Elections Intelligence

U.S. Senate S architectural icon Senate 2026

48SEATS LEAN D OR BETTER6 toss-ups · 46 Lean R or betterVice President (tiebreaker)51
Safe DLikely DLean DToss-upLean RLikely RSafe R
Not on the ballotOn the ballot

Seats worth monitoring

Republican-held Senate seats that carry risk 10
Safe D
none priced here
0
Likely D
OPEN NC-SEN R 5.2¢
1
Lean D
OPEN TX-SEN R 37¢
1
Toss-up
AK-SEN R 27¢ OH-SEN R 41¢ ME-SEN R 43¢ OPEN IA-SEN R 58¢ KS-SEN R 63¢
5
Lean R
NE-SEN R 74¢ SC-SEN R 86¢ ID-SEN R 94.4¢
3
Likely R
none priced here
0
Safe R
none priced here
0
Democratic-held Senate seats that carry risk 2
Safe D
none priced here
0
Likely D
none priced here
0
Lean D
OPEN MI-SEN D 68¢
1
Toss-up
OPEN MN-SEN D 88¢
1
Lean R
none priced here
0
Likely R
none priced here
0
Safe R
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0

The races to watch

All 35 Senate races →
IA Iowa U.S. SenateOpen seat · previously R Lean R to Toss-up Turek 43¢58¢ Hinson Market favors Hinson, but polls favor Turek.
ME Maine U.S. SenateCollins (R) defends Lean D to Toss-up Jackson 58¢43¢ Collins Market and polls both favor Jackson.
OH Ohio U.S. Senate (Special)Husted (R) defends Toss-up Brown 60¢41¢ Husted Market and polls both favor Brown.
KS Kansas U.S. SenateMarshall (R) defends Lean R to Toss-up Hamilton 39¢63¢ Marshall Market favors Marshall, but polls favor Hamilton.
AK Alaska U.S. SenateSullivan (R) defends Lean D to Toss-up Peltola 74¢27¢ Sullivan Market and polls both favor Peltola.
MN Minnesota U.S. SenateOpen seat · previously D Lean D to Toss-up Flanagan 88¢13¢ Tafoya Market and polls both favor Flanagan.
TX Texas U.S. SenateOpen seat · previously R · Democrats favoured to flip Toss-up to Lean D Talarico 64¢37¢ Paxton Market and polls both favor Talarico.
MI Michigan U.S. SenateOpen seat · previously D Toss-up to Lean D El-Sayed 68¢33¢ Rogers Market and polls both favor El-Sayed.
NE Nebraska U.S. SenateRicketts (R) defends Safe R to Lean R Osborn 28¢74¢ Ricketts Market and polls both favor Ricketts.
SC South Carolina U.S. SenateGraham (R) defends Lean R Andrews 15¢86¢ Graham Market and polls both favor Graham.
ID Idaho U.S. SenateRisch (R) defends Safe R to Lean R Achilles 6¢94¢ Risch Market and polls both favor Risch.