Elections Intelligence

Evan Hunt

TX-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R to Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Hunt is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Hunt at 6.8¢ against Self's 95.1¢, down 0.2¢ since August 3. Self leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hunt · Democratic contract
6.8¢
▼ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Evan Hunt by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 3.3¢Oct 12
Evan HuntDemocratic
6.8¢
Keith SelfRepublican · incumbent
95.1¢

16,868 traded · 9,625 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hunt v Self

Metric by metric
Hunt
Self
6.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
95.1¢
$446.5K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$645.5K
$43.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$212.7K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Texas 3rd District
Prior result
R+24.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Keith Self.

Fundraising
1.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.