Derek Schmidt · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Schmidt is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Schmidt at 90.4¢ against Coover's 11¢, down 0.6¢ since August 3. Schmidt leads 1.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Schmidt · Republican contract

90.4¢

▼ 0.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Derek Schmidt by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.1¢ · low 86¢Oct 12

Derek SchmidtRepublican · incumbent

90.4¢

Don CooverDemocratic

11.0¢

8,310 traded · 5,601 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Schmidt v Coover

Metric by metric

Schmidt

Coover

90.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

11.0¢

$1.46M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$758.8K

$939.2K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$244.3K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Kansas 2nd District

Prior result

R+18.9

2024 general election, won by Derek Schmidt.

Fundraising

1.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.