Didi Okpareke · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Okpareke is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Okpareke at 1.5¢ against Stansbury's 97.9¢, down 3.5¢ since August 3. Stansbury leads 13.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Okpareke · Republican contract

1.5¢

▼ 3.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Didi Okpareke by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 1.5¢Oct 12

Didi OkparekeRepublican

1.5¢

Melanie A. StansburyDemocratic · incumbent

97.9¢

5,986 traded · 3,626 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Okpareke v Stansbury

Metric by metric

Okpareke

Stansbury

1.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$100.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.35M

$42.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$416.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

New Mexico 1st District

Prior result

D+12.7

2024 general election, won by Melanie A. Stansbury.

Fundraising

13.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.