Elections Intelligence

Manny Rutinel

CO-8U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Rutinel is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Rutinel at 87¢ against Evans's 15¢, up 12¢ since August 3. The polling average has Rutinel ahead by 0.3 points, and Evans leads 1.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Rutinel · Democratic contract
87.0¢
▲ 12.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Manny Rutinel by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 88¢ · low 75¢Oct 12
Manny RutinelDemocratic
87.0¢
Gabe EvansRepublican · incumbent
15.0¢

33,026 traded · 21,174 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Rutinel v Evans

Metric by metric
Rutinel
Evans
87.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
15.0¢
$4.34M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$5.39M
$601.2K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$3.88M
46.3%
Latest pollMcLaughlin, Evans sponsor · Sep 17
48%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Colorado 8th District
Latest poll
D+0.3

McLaughlin, Evans sponsor, September 17.

Prior result
R+0.7

2024 general election, won by Gabe Evans.

Fundraising
1.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.