Elections Intelligence

Andy Biggs

AZGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely D Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Biggs is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Biggs at 15¢ against Hobbs's 85¢, down 6¢ since July 31. The polling average has Hobbs ahead by 5.3 points, and Hobbs leads 2.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Biggs · Republican contract
15.0¢
▼ 6.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Andy Biggs by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 21¢ · low 12¢Oct 12
Andy BiggsRepublican
15.0¢
Katie HobbsDemocratic · incumbent
85.0¢

720,943 traded · 444,341 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Biggs v Hobbs

Metric by metric
Biggs
Hobbs
15.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
85.0¢
$3.95M
RaisedState filings, through July 21
$11.11M
$1.20M
Cash on handState filings, through July 21
$175.8K
44%
Latest pollGrayhouse, R-leaning firm · Oct 8
50%
U.S. Representativesince 2017
Holds now
Governor of Arizonasince 2023

The 2026 race

Arizona Governor
Polling average
D+5.3

Average of 3 pollsters, September 9 to October 8.

Prior result
D+0.6

2022 general election, won by Katie Hobbs.

Fundraising
2.8 to 1

Raised, through July 21.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.