Alissa J. Ellman · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Ellman is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Ellman at 2.1¢ against Tenney's 98¢, down 7.5¢ since August 3. Tenney leads 14.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Ellman · Democratic contract

2.1¢

▼ 7.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Alissa J. Ellman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 2.1¢Oct 12

Alissa J. EllmanDemocratic

2.1¢

Claudia TenneyRepublican · incumbent

98.0¢

16,498 traded · 9,790 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ellman v Tenney

Metric by metric

Ellman

Tenney

2.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.0¢

$193.1K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.76M

$12.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.37M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

New York 24th District

Prior result

R+31.3

2024 general election, won by Claudia Tenney.

Fundraising

14.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.