Kyle Kirkland
CA-21What the Signal reads
Likely D
Kirkland is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Kirkland at 5.2¢ against Costa's 95.7¢, down 2.7¢ since August 3. Costa leads 3.9 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Kirkland · Republican contract
5.2¢
▼ 2.7¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Kyle Kirkland by name.
25,904 traded · 21,726 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Kirkland v Costa
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 21st DistrictPrior result
D+5.2
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Jim Costa.
Fundraising
3.9 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.