Claudia Tenney
NY-24What the Signal reads
Safe R
Tenney is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Tenney at 98¢ against Ellman's 2.1¢, up 7.5¢ since August 3. Tenney leads 14.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Tenney · Republican contract
98.0¢
▲ 7.5¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Claudia Tenney by name.
16,498 traded · 9,790 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Tenney v Ellman
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New York 24th DistrictPrior result
R+31.3
2024 general election, won by Claudia Tenney.
Fundraising
14.3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.