Elections Intelligence

Kent S. Udell

UT-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R to Likely R Underdog
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What the Signal reads

Likely R

Udell is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Udell at 1.8¢ against Maloy's 99.6¢, down 5.7¢ since August 3. The polling average has Maloy ahead by 18.1 points, and Maloy leads 30.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Udell · Democratic contract
1.8¢
▼ 5.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kent S. Udell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 1.8¢Oct 12
Kent S. UdellDemocratic
1.8¢
Celeste MaloyRepublican
99.6¢

9,841 traded · 4,638 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Udell v Maloy

Metric by metric
Udell
Maloy
1.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.6¢
$47.5K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.45M
$13.3K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$322.4K
26.4%
Latest pollLighthoust Research · Sep 15
44.5%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Utah 3rd District
Latest poll
R+18.1

Lighthoust Research, September 15.

Prior result
R+32.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Mike Kennedy.

Fundraising
30.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.