South Carolina 3rd District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Brian Corriea (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 46-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 98.4¢ today.
Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Fundraising · Lean RR 12.5-to-1 in receipts.Market · Safe RR 98.4¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Safe RR+46.35 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 98.4¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+46.35
Sheri Biggs (R)
71.66 — 25.3 · 2024 general election
def. Bryon L. Best (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
R 12.5 to 1
Eunice Lehmacher$40.4K
Sheri Biggs$505.3K
PULLED 08-25 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.
BALLOT & DATES
Primary 06-09 · HELDRunoff 06-23 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · other settled
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