Elections Intelligence

South Carolina 3rd District

DEFENDED SEAT
SAFE R
Eunice Lehmacher Democratic · Challenger
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
6.5¢REPUBLICAN 98.4¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Sheri Biggs Republican · Incumbent
Also on the ballot: Brian Corriea (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 46-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 98.4¢ today.

Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Fundraising · Lean RR 12.5-to-1 in receipts. Market · Safe RR 98.4¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold. Prior result · Safe RR+46.35 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 98.4¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+46.35

Sheri Biggs (R)

71.66 — 25.3 · 2024 general election

def. Bryon L. Best (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
R 12.5 to 1
Eunice Lehmacher$40.4K
Sheri Biggs$505.3K

PULLED 08-25 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 06-09 · HELDRunoff 06-23 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 R settled · D settled · other settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄