Elections Intelligence

Lauren Boebert

CO-4U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Lean R Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Boebert is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Boebert at 74¢ against Laubacher's 28¢, up 5¢ since August 3. The polling average has Boebert ahead by 5 points, and Laubacher leads 10.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Boebert · Republican contract
74.0¢
▲ 5.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Lauren Boebert by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 74¢ · low 67¢Oct 12
Lauren BoebertRepublican · incumbent
74.0¢
Eileen LaubacherDemocratic
28.0¢

166,385 traded · 128,999 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Boebert v Laubacher

Metric by metric
Boebert
Laubacher
74.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
28.0¢
$1.01M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$10.35M
$247.2K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$3.61M
45%
Latest pollImpact Research, D-leaning firm · Sep 24
40%
U.S. Representativesince 2021
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Colorado 4th District
Latest poll
R+5

Impact Research, D-leaning firm, September 24.

Prior result
R+11.6

2024 general election, won by Lauren Boebert.

Fundraising
10.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.