The market has run well past this seat's history — a 13-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 97.4¢ today.
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
Raul Ruiz (D)
56.3 — 43.7 · 2024 general election
def. Ian M. Weeks (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle. Parity — neither campaign leads by enough for fundraising to take a place on the spectrum.