Derek Merrin
OH-9What the Signal reads
Lean D
Merrin is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Merrin at 28¢ against Kaptur's 71¢, down 2¢ since August 3. The polling average has Merrin ahead by 2 points, and Kaptur leads 2.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Merrin · Republican contract
28.0¢
▼ 2.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Derek Merrin by name.
89,195 traded · 55,188 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Merrin v Kaptur
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Ohio 9th DistrictPolling average
R+2
Average of 2 pollsters, April 20 to September 23.
Prior result
D+0.6
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Marcy Kaptur.
Fundraising
2.8 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.