Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Jim Costa

Democratic · U.S. Representative, California 21st District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 95.9¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 21ST DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTKyle Kirkland (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 95.9¢ · R 7.9¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+5.22024 general election margin — verified against official results
4:1fundraising ratio v Kirkland · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$1.34Mraised
$937.8Kcash on hand
· Kirkland: $339.0K / $17.9K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V KIRKLAND ⇄