Katie Hobbs
AZWhat the Signal reads
Likely D
Hobbs is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Hobbs at 85¢ against Biggs's 15¢, up 4¢ since July 31. The polling average has Hobbs ahead by 5.3 points, and Hobbs leads 2.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Hobbs · Democratic contract
85.0¢
▲ 4.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Katie Hobbs by name.
720,943 traded · 444,341 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Hobbs v Biggs
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Arizona GovernorPolling average
D+5.3
Average of 3 pollsters, September 9 to October 8.
Prior result
D+0.6
2022 general election, won by Katie Hobbs.
Fundraising
2.8 to 1
Raised, through July 21.