Elections Intelligence

Jim Pillen

NEGovernor: G under a starred pediment
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Pillen is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Pillen at 90.7¢ against Walz's 9.9¢, up 7.7¢ since July 31. The polling average has Pillen ahead by 7 points, and Pillen leads 2.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pillen · Republican contract
90.7¢
▲ 7.7¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jim Pillen by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 93.8¢ · low 83¢Oct 12
Jim PillenRepublican · incumbent
90.7¢
Lynne WalzDemocratic
9.9¢

64,651 traded · 50,384 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pillen v Walz

Metric by metric
Pillen
Walz
90.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
9.9¢
$8.62M
RaisedState filings, through June 16 and September 29
$3.14M
$9.53M
Cash on handState filings, through June 16 and September 29
$860.5K
44%
Latest pollYouGov · Oct 3
43%
Governor of Nebraskasince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Nebraska Governor
Polling average
R+7

Average of 5 pollsters, September 13 to October 3.

Prior result
R+23.2

2022 general election, won by Jim Pillen.

Fundraising
2.7 to 1

Raised, through September 29.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.