Elections Intelligence

Mark Baisley

COU.S. Senate S architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Baisley is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Baisley at 1.2¢ against Hickenlooper's 98.7¢, down 1.8¢ since July 31. Hickenlooper leads 58.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Baisley · Republican contract
1.2¢
▼ 1.8¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mark Baisley by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 5¢ · low 1.2¢Oct 12
Mark BaisleyRepublican
1.2¢
John W. HickenlooperDemocratic · incumbent
98.7¢

31,535 traded · 24,023 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Baisley v Hickenlooper

Metric by metric
Baisley
Hickenlooper
1.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.7¢
$138.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$8.12M
$50.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.08M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Senatorsince 2021

The 2026 race

Colorado U.S. Senate
Latest poll
Hickenlooper +7

CO Comm. Res., May 28.

Prior result
D+9.3

2020 general election, won by John W. Hickenlooper.

Fundraising
58.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.