Eliott Rodriguez
FL-27What the Signal reads
Toss-up
Rodriguez is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Rodriguez at 36¢ against Salazar's 64¢, up 16¢ since August 3. The polling average has Salazar ahead by 2.5 points, and Salazar leads 3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Rodriguez · Democratic contract
36.0¢
▲ 16.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Eliott Rodriguez by name.
96,019 traded · 64,935 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Rodriguez v Salazar
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Florida 27th DistrictPolling average
R+2.5
Average of 2 pollsters, August 30 to September 13.
Prior result
R+20.8
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Maria Elvira Salazar.
Fundraising
3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.