LaShonda "L.J." Holloway · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Holloway is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Holloway at 14¢ against Bean's 87¢, down 2¢ since August 3. Bean leads 79.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Holloway · Democratic contract

14.0¢

▼ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on LaShonda "L.J." Holloway by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 17¢ · low 14¢Oct 12

LaShonda "L.J." HollowayDemocratic

14.0¢

Aaron BeanRepublican · incumbent

87.0¢

9,843 traded · 3,397 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Holloway v Bean

Metric by metric

Holloway

Bean

14.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

87.0¢

$27.3K

RaisedFEC, through July 29

$2.16M

$23.6K

Cash on handFEC, through July 29

$1.63M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Florida 4th District

Prior result

R+14.5

2024 general election, won by Aaron Bean.

Fundraising

79.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.