Elections Intelligence

Ohio 13th District

DEFENDED SEAT
SAFE D
Emilia Strong Sykes Democratic · Incumbent
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
DEMOCRAT 95¢7.9¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Carey Coleman Republican · Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 2-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 95¢ today.

Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 95¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold. Fundraising · Lean DD 24.67-to-1 in receipts. Prior result · Toss-upD+2.21 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 95¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+2.21

Emilia Strong Sykes (D)

51.11 — 48.89 · 2024 general election

def. Kevin Coughlin (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
D 24.67 to 1
Emilia Strong Sykes$3.14M
Carey Coleman$127.1K

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 05-05 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 D settled · R settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄