Aaron D. Ford
NVWhat the Signal reads
Toss-up
Ford is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Ford at 52¢ against Lombardo's 48¢, down 6¢ since July 31. The polling average has Lombardo ahead by 0.9 points, and Lombardo leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Ford · Democratic contract
52.0¢
▼ 6.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Aaron D. Ford by name.
1,337,844 traded · 669,544 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Ford v Lombardo
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Nevada GovernorPolling average
R+0.9
Average of 3 pollsters, July 29 to September 26.
Prior result
R+1.5
2022 general election, won by Joe Lombardo.
Fundraising
1.8 to 1
Raised, through June 30.