Fred Wellman
MO-2What the Signal reads
Lean R
Wellman is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Wellman at 27¢ against Wagner's 74¢, up 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Wagner ahead by 2 points, and Wagner leads 3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Wellman · Democratic contract
27.0¢
▲ 4.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Fred Wellman by name.
79,790 traded · 60,997 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Wellman v Wagner
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Missouri 2nd DistrictPolling average
R+2
Average of 2 pollsters, May 31 to September 15.
Prior result
R+12.0
2024 general election, won by Ann Wagner.
Fundraising
3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.