Cinde Warmington
NHWhat the Signal reads
Likely R
Warmington is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market prices a Democratic win of the seat, a flip from Republican, at 6.3¢, a price on the party and not on Warmington. The polling average has Ayotte ahead by 7.7 points.
The market
No price is quoted on this candidate: no contract on this candidate in the market.
202,823 traded · 181,293 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Warmington v Ayotte
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
New Hampshire GovernorPolling average
R+7.7
Average of 4 pollsters, September 21 to October 5.
Prior result
R+9.3
2024 general election, won by Kelly Ayotte.