Christopher Gallant · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Gallant is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Gallant at 14¢ against LaLota's 87¢, down 12¢ since August 3. The polling average has LaLota ahead by 5 points, and LaLota leads 5.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Gallant · Democratic contract

14.0¢

▼ 12.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Christopher Gallant by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 31¢ · low 14¢Oct 12

Christopher GallantDemocratic

14.0¢

Nick LaLotaRepublican · incumbent

87.0¢

195,176 traded · 145,746 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Gallant v LaLota

Metric by metric

Gallant

LaLota

14.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

87.0¢

$647.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$3.80M

$172.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$3.33M

38%

Latest pollPublic Policy Polling (D), House Majority PAC sponsor · Dec 11

41%

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

New York 1st District

Latest poll

R+5

Public Policy Polling (D), House Majority PAC sponsor, December 11.

Prior result

R+10.4

2024 general election, won by Nick LaLota.

Fundraising

5.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.