Kansas Attorney General — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 2-point Republican hold in 2022, priced at 66¢ today.

Lean R

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Prior result · Toss-upR+1.6 in 2022.Market · Lean RR 66¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.

Signal clarityLow — no pollingas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

R 66¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

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No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

R+1.6

Kobach, Kris (R)

50.8 — 49.2 · 2022 general election

def. Mann, Chris (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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Chris Mann$642.6K

Kris W. Kobach$606.8K

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 07-23 · STATE FILING

Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.