Elections Intelligence

Jose Javier Rodriguez

FLAttorney General: AG under a pediment with the scales of justice
CHALLENGER Lean R Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Rodriguez is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Rodriguez at 24¢ against Uthmeier's 76¢, up 6¢ since August 3. The polling average has Uthmeier ahead by 0.3 points, and Uthmeier leads 1.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Rodriguez · Democratic contract
24.0¢
▲ 6.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jose Javier Rodriguez by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 16¢Oct 12
Jose Javier RodriguezDemocratic
24.0¢
James UthmeierRepublican · incumbent
76.0¢

13,829 traded · 9,245 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Rodriguez v Uthmeier

Metric by metric
Rodriguez
Uthmeier
24.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
76.0¢
$1.46M
RaisedState filings, through October 2
$1.86M
41.6%
Latest pollSt. Pete Polls, Florida Politics sponsor · Sep 17
43%
No office on file
Holds now
Attorney General of Florida

The 2026 race

Florida Attorney General
Polling average
R+0.3

Average of 3 pollsters, March 1 to September 17.

Prior result
R+21.2

2022 general election, won by Ashley Moody.

Fundraising
1.2 to 1

Raised, through October 2.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.