Juan Ciscomani
AZ-6What the Signal reads
Lean D
Ciscomani is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Ciscomani at 17¢ against Mendoza's 85¢, down 3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Mendoza ahead by 1.3 points, and Mendoza leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Ciscomani · Republican contract
17.0¢
▼ 3.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Juan Ciscomani by name.
25,310 traded · 13,451 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Ciscomani v Mendoza
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Arizona 6th DistrictPolling average
D+1.3
Average of 3 pollsters, October 15 to June 11.
Prior result
R+2.5
2024 general election, won by Juan Ciscomani.
Fundraising
1.1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 1.