Elections Intelligence

J. French Hill

Ran for Arkansas's 2nd District

Hill is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Strong R edge. The market prices a Republican hold of the seat at 100¢. The polling average has Hill ahead by 0.5 points, and Hill leads 2.6 to 1 in money raised.

Arkansas, with the state flag2

The market

Kalshi ↗
▲ 8.9¢since August 3
J. French HillRepublican party contract · incumbent
100.0¢
Chris JonesDemocratic party contract
0.0¢

The 2026 race

Polling
R+0.5

The polls had Hill ahead by 0.5 points across 2 pollsters.

Prior result
R+17.9

Hill won this seat in 2024 by 17.9 points, 58.9% to 41.1%, over Marcus A. Jones.

Fundraising
2.6 to 1

Hill raised $5.26M to Jones's $1.96M through October 14.

Arkansas's 2nd District race

The general election was on November 3.