Elections Intelligence

Stefany Shaheen

Ran for New Hampshire's 1st District

Shaheen is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Strong D edge. The market prices a Democratic hold of the seat at 100¢. The polling average has Shaheen ahead by 4.7 points, and Shaheen leads 2.5 to 1 in money raised.

New Hampshire, with the state flag1

The market

Kalshi ↗
▲ 11.0¢since July 31
Stefany ShaheenDemocratic party contract
100.0¢
Anthony DiLorenzoRepublican party contract
0.0¢

The 2026 race

Polling
D+4.7

The latest poll, from Saint Anselm College Survey Center, had Shaheen ahead by 4.7 points.

Prior result
D+8.1

Chris Pappas won this seat in 2024 by 8.1 points, 54.0% to 45.9%, over Russell Prescott.

Fundraising
2.5 to 1

Shaheen raised $3.19M to DiLorenzo's $1.26M through October 14.

New Hampshire's 1st District race

The general election was on November 3.