David Jolly
FLWhat the Signal reads
Lean R
Jolly is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Jolly at 23¢ against Donalds's 78¢, up 6¢ since July 31. The polling average has Donalds ahead by 5.7 points, and Donalds leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Jolly · Democratic contract
23.0¢
▲ 6.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on David Jolly by name.
2,702,129 traded · 1,894,395 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Jolly v Donalds
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Florida GovernorPolling average
R+5.7
Average of 6 pollsters, September 21 to October 7.
Prior result
R+19.4
2022 general election, won by Ron DeSantis / Jeanette Nuñez.
Fundraising
1.4 to 1
Raised, through October 2.