Colorado U.S. Senate — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 9-point Democratic hold in 2020, priced at 97¢ today.

Safe D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Safe DD 97¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Fundraising · Lean DD 58.58-to-1 in receipts.Prior result · Lean DD+9.32 in 2020.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 97¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

—

CO Comm. Res. ↗ May 17 - 28 · n=796 LV · D PRIMARY D+7 INDEPENDENT

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

D+9.32

Hickenlooper, John W. (D)

53.5 — 44.18 · 2020 general election

def. Gardner, Cory (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

D 58.58 to 1

John W. Hickenlooper$8.12M

Mark Baisley$138.6K

PULLED 08-03 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.