Elections Intelligence

Matt Little

MN-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely D Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Little is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Little at 91.9¢ against Pratt's 9¢, down 3.4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Little ahead by 8.5 points, and Little leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Little · Democratic contract
91.9¢
▼ 3.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Matt Little by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 91.9¢Oct 12
Matt LittleDemocratic
91.9¢
Eric PrattRepublican
9.0¢

6,604 traded · 3,072 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Little v Pratt

Metric by metric
Little
Pratt
91.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
9.0¢
$923.3K
RaisedFEC, through July 22
$511.2K
$127.5K
Cash on handFEC, through July 22
$254.4K
52%
Latest pollImpact Research, Little sponsor · Sep 13
40%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Minnesota 2nd District
Polling average
D+8.5

Average of 2 pollsters, July 21 to September 13.

Prior result
D+13.4

2024 general election, won by Angie Craig.

Fundraising
1.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.