Nevada 2nd District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Mark E. Amodei (R).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 19-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 82¢ today.
Lean R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Polling · Toss-upD+2 — Wedgewood Polls, Jul 12.Fundraising · Lean RR 8.85-to-1 in receipts.Market · Likely RR 82¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Likely RR+18.98 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 82¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
D+2
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+18.98
Mark E. Amodei (R)
55.04 — 36.05 · 2024 general election
def. Greg Kidd (NO POLITICAL PARTY). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
R 8.85 to 1
Teresa F. Benitez-Thompson$257.1K
David Flippo$2.28M
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.