Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Jay Obernolte

Republican · U.S. Representative, California 23rd District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE R KALSHI · 96.9¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 23RD DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTTessa Lynn Hodge (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 96.9¢ · D 10¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+20.22024 general election margin — verified against official results
18:1fundraising ratio v Hodge · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$1.46Mraised
$1.64Mcash on hand
· Hodge: $79.5K / $10.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
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