Elections Intelligence

Jocelyn Benson

MIGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely DThe seat Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Benson is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Benson at 93.4¢ against James's 6.8¢, up 9.4¢ since July 31. The polling average has Benson ahead by 7.9 points, and Benson leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Benson · Democratic contract
93.4¢
▲ 9.4¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jocelyn Benson by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 93.7¢ · low 84¢Oct 12
Jocelyn BensonDemocratic
93.4¢
John JamesRepublican
6.8¢
Mike Dugganindependent
0.5¢

398,334 traded · 242,852 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Benson v James

Metric by metric
Benson
James
93.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
6.8¢
$12.58M
RaisedState filings, through August 24
$9.09M
$5.93M
Cash on handState filings, through August 24
$1.07M
55%
Latest pollWedgewood Polls · Oct 9
45%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Michigan Governor
Polling average
D+7.9

Average of 14 pollsters, September 14 to October 9.

Prior result
D+10.6

2022 general election, won by Gretchen Whitmer.

Fundraising
1.3 to 1

Raised, through August 24.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.