Elections Intelligence

Chris Harden

GA-11U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R to Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Harden is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Harden at 4.4¢ against Cowan's 97.4¢, down 2.1¢ since August 3. The polling average is even, and Cowan leads 31.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Harden · Democratic contract
4.4¢
▼ 2.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Chris Harden by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.5¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12
Chris HardenDemocratic
4.4¢
John CowanRepublican
97.4¢

21,388 traded · 8,916 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Harden v Cowan

Metric by metric
Harden
Cowan
4.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.4¢
$74.7K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.35M
$2.2K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$17.6K
42%
Latest pollMiller Consulting, D sponsor · Sep 11
40%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Georgia 11th District
Latest poll
Even

Miller Consulting, D sponsor, September 11.

Prior result
R+34.6

2024 general election, won by Barry Loudermilk.

Fundraising
31.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.