Elections Intelligence

Jamie Ager

NC-11U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Ager is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Ager at 78¢ against Balkcom's 24¢, up 26¢ since August 3. The polling average has Ager ahead by 1 point.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Ager · Democratic contract
78.0¢
▲ 26.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jamie Ager by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 78¢ · low 52¢Oct 12
Jamie AgerDemocratic
78.0¢
Jennifer Capps BalkcomRepublican
24.0¢

229,350 traded · 172,667 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ager v Balkcom

Metric by metric
Ager
Balkcom
78.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
24.0¢
$3.05M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Jennifer Capps Balkcom: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$2.18M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
47%
Latest pollPublic Policy Polling, The Bench sponsor · Sep 11
44%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 11th District
Latest poll
D+1

Public Policy Polling, The Bench sponsor, September 11.

Prior result
R+13.5

2024 general election, won by Chuck Edwards.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.