Steve Toth
TX-2What the Signal reads
Likely R
Toth is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Toth at 92¢ against Finnie's 7¢, up 0.4¢ since August 3. Finnie leads 3.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Toth · Republican contract
92.0¢
▲ 0.4¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Steve Toth by name.
1,478 traded · 1,257 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Toth v Finnie
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas 2nd DistrictPrior result
R+31.3
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Dan Crenshaw.
Fundraising
3.3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.