Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW YORK

Patrick Ryan

Democratic · U.S. Representative, New York 18th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY D KALSHI · 95.9¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 18TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTJackie Mary Auringer (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 95.9¢ · R 7.5¢
LATEST POLLD+14<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/new-york-playbook/2026/08/14/republicans-revisit-the-22-crime-playbook-01037591" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">GSG ↗</a> (B-) 08-14 · n=500
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+14.342024 general election margin — verified against official results
53:1fundraising ratio v Auringer · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$4.72Mraised
$3.12Mcash on hand
· Auringer: $89.7K / $61.3K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-23 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V AURINGER ⇄