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PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW YORK
Patrick Ryan
Democratic · U.S. Representative, New York 18th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
LIKELY D
KALSHI ·
95.9¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 18TH DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Jackie Mary Auringer (R)
Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Likely D
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
D 95.9¢ · R 7.5¢
LATEST POLL
D+14
<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/new-york-playbook/2026/08/14/republicans-revisit-the-22-crime-playbook-01037591" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">GSG ↗</a> (B-) 08-14 · n=500
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+14.34
2024 general election margin — verified against official results
53:1
fundraising ratio v Auringer · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$4.72M
raised
$3.12M
cash on hand
PAT RYAN FOR CONGRESS ↗
· Auringer: $89.7K / $61.3K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary
06-23 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled
COMPARE V AURINGER ⇄