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PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / OHIO
Mike Carey
Republican · U.S. Representative, Ohio 15th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
LEAN R
KALSHI ·
85¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · OHIO 15TH DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Don Leonard (D)
Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Lean R
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
R 85¢ · D 19¢
LATEST POLL
R+4
<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/weekly-score/2026/08/17/is-it-dans-sullivan-or-dan-sullivans-01038900" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Hart Research ↗</a> (A-) 08-15 · n=401
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+12.92
2024 general election margin — verified against official results
5:1
fundraising ratio v Leonard · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$3.30M
raised
$2.06M
cash on hand
CAREY FOR CONGRESS ↗
· Leonard: $606.7K / $252.4K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary
05-05 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled
COMPARE V LEONARD ⇄