Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / OHIO

Mike Carey

Republican · U.S. Representative, Ohio 15th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN R KALSHI · 85¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · OHIO 15TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTDon Leonard (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLean RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 85¢ · D 19¢
LATEST POLLR+4<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/weekly-score/2026/08/17/is-it-dans-sullivan-or-dan-sullivans-01038900" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Hart Research ↗</a> (A-) 08-15 · n=401
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+12.922024 general election margin — verified against official results
5:1fundraising ratio v Leonard · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$3.30Mraised
$2.06Mcash on hand
· Leonard: $606.7K / $252.4K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary05-05 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled
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