Elections Intelligence

Nebraska U.S. Senate

DEFENDED SEAT
SAFE R
Pete Ricketts Republican · Incumbent
KALSHI PERSON MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
REPUBLICAN 70¢OSBORN 31¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Dan Osborn Independent · Challenger
Also on the ballot: Mike Marvin (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL

Nothing live is reporting on this seat. Its last general election was a 38-point Republican hold in 2020.

Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Prior result · Safe RR+38.31 in 2020.
Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-26
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

No settling contract prices this race, so there is no market reading.

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
Impact Res. ↗ B Aug 9 - 13 · n=600 LV EVEN PARTISAN
Tavern Research ↗ May 8 - 11 · n=1,165 LV Osborn+5 INDEPENDENT
Impact Res. ↗ B Feb 2 - 5 · n=600 LV R+1 PARTISAN
PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+38.31

Sasse, Ben (R)

62.74 — 24.43 · 2020 general election

def. Janicek, Chris (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
2 to 1
Pete Ricketts$11.23M
Dan Osborn$5.75M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 05-12 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 R settled · D no candidate · I settled · other settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄