Ralph Alvarado
KY-6What the Signal reads
Lean R
Alvarado is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Alvarado at 70¢ against Dembo's 32¢, down 3¢ since August 3. The polling average has Dembo ahead by 4 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.
The market
Alvarado · Republican contract
70.0¢
▼ 3.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ralph Alvarado by name.
76,904 traded · 58,281 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Alvarado v Dembo
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Kentucky 6th DistrictPolling average
D+4
Average of 3 pollsters, September 30 to October 5.
Prior result
R+26.0
2024 general election, won by Andy Barr.
Fundraising
1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.