Elections Intelligence

Eileen Laubacher

CO-4U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean R Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Laubacher is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Laubacher at 28¢ against Boebert's 74¢, down 3¢ since August 3. The polling average has Boebert ahead by 5 points, and Laubacher leads 10.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Laubacher · Democratic contract
28.0¢
▼ 3.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Eileen Laubacher by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 39¢ · low 28¢Oct 12
Eileen LaubacherDemocratic
28.0¢
Lauren BoebertRepublican · incumbent
74.0¢

166,385 traded · 128,999 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Laubacher v Boebert

Metric by metric
Laubacher
Boebert
28.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
74.0¢
$10.35M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.01M
$3.61M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$247.2K
40%
Latest pollImpact Research, D-leaning firm · Sep 24
45%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Colorado 4th District
Latest poll
R+5

Impact Research, D-leaning firm, September 24.

Prior result
R+11.6

2024 general election, won by Lauren Boebert.

Fundraising
10.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.