Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / PENNSYLVANIA

Lloyd Smucker

Republican · U.S. Representative, Pennsylvania 11th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 93.7¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · PENNSYLVANIA 11TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTNancy Mannion (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 93.7¢ · D 9.4¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+25.82024 general election margin — verified against official results
7:1fundraising ratio v Mannion · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$1.52Mraised
$810.8Kcash on hand
· Mannion: $214.2K / $47.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary05-19 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled
COMPARE V MANNION ⇄