Thomas H. Kean, Jr. · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Kean is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Kean at 9.6¢ against Bennett's 91.2¢, down 11.4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Bennett ahead by 4 points, and Kean leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kean · Republican contract

9.6¢

▼ 11.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Thomas H. Kean, Jr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 28¢ · low 9.6¢Oct 12

Thomas H. Kean, Jr.Republican · incumbent

9.6¢

Rebecca BennettDemocratic

91.2¢

211,915 traded · 90,014 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kean v Bennett

Metric by metric

Kean

Bennett

9.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

91.2¢

$4.89M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.27M

$3.63M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.45M

42%

Latest pollStimsight Research · Sep 12

47%

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 7th District

Polling average

D+4

Average of 2 pollsters, May 26 to September 12.

Prior result

R+3.4

2024 general election, won by Thomas H. Kean, Jr..

Fundraising

1.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.