Elections Intelligence

Jamie Davis

LAU.S. Senate S architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Davis is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Davis at 5.7¢ against Letlow's 94.1¢, down 0.4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Letlow ahead by 6 points, and Letlow leads 3.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Davis · Democratic contract
5.7¢
▼ 0.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jamie Davis by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 4.9¢Oct 12
Jamie DavisDemocratic
5.7¢
Julia LetlowRepublican
94.1¢

93,833 traded · 52,305 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Davis v Letlow

Metric by metric
Davis
Letlow
5.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
94.1¢
$1.98M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$6.21M
$479.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.43M
44%
Latest pollHart Research, D sponsor · Sep 19
48%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Louisiana U.S. Senate
Polling average
R+6

Average of 2 pollsters, July 22 to September 19.

Prior result
R+40.3

2020 general election, won by Bill Cassidy.

Fundraising
3.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.