Casey Shepard · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Shepard is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Shepard at 5.9¢ against Sessions's 96.5¢, down 3.6¢ since August 3. Sessions leads 119.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Shepard · Democratic contract

5.9¢

▼ 3.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Casey Shepard by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.5¢ · low 3.6¢Oct 12

Casey ShepardDemocratic

5.9¢

Pete SessionsRepublican · incumbent

96.5¢

30,056 traded · 14,149 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Shepard v Sessions

Metric by metric

Shepard

Sessions

5.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.5¢

$8.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.05M

$3.1K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$934.0K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Texas 17th District

Prior result

R+32.7

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Pete Sessions.

Fundraising

119.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.